Expected goals: Stats experts reveal how Premier League gameweek 34 matches should have finished

Expected goals: Stats experts reveal how Premier League gameweek 34 matches should have finished Real result: Burnley 2-1 Leicester City<br> Expected goals result: Burnley 1.06-2.00 Leicester CityReal result: Crystal Palace 3-2 Brighton and Hove Albion<br> Expected goals result: Crystal Palace 2.50-1.54 Brighton and Hove AlbionReal result: Huddersfield Town 1-0 Watford<br> Expected goals result: Huddersfield Town 0.93-0.31 WatfordReal result: Swansea City 1-1 Everton<br> Expected goals result: Swansea City 1.20-1.61 EvertonReal result: Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth<br> Expected goals result: 2.64-0.54 BournemouthReal result: Tottenham Hotspur 1-3 Manchester City<br> Expected goals result: 0.45-3.62 Manchester CityReal result: Newcastle United 2-1 Arsenal<br> Expected goals result: 0.89-1.42 ArsenalReal result: Manchester United 0-1 West Bromwich Albion<br> Expected goals result: 0.64-0.82 West Bromwich Albion

Click the right arrow to see the rest of the expected goals results

Another weekend of Premier League football has been and gone, with Manchester City crowned champions of England.

Pep Guardiola's side were handed the top flight title on Sunday, as their local rivals Manchester United were beaten by West Brom at Old Trafford, thus making it impossible for them to catch City in first place before the end of the campaign.

This situation was made possible by City's 3-1 defeat of Spurs, while other big results included Chelsea's comeback victory over Southampton and Newcastle's impressive defeat of Arsenal.

But, do the stats experts say the results from matchweek 34 were correct?

'Expected goals' is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an 'expected goal' value based on the difficulty of the attempt.

Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the 'expected goal' value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot

The 'expected goal' value of every shot in a game is used to calculate the 'expected goals' (xG) of a match.

Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team have been lucky to score so many in that match.

So, how did every team perform compared to their xG in Premier League matchweek 34? Click the right arrow, above, to find out…

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